In the Ontario election which is due this fall. Hudak looked like an easy winner, but i say don't rule out the Liberals in Ontario so fast. Even with the last election in May where Liberals faced a devastating defeat in the province getting third place. Recent polls show that the premier of Ontario looks like he may have a chance to win the province.
The recent poll shows the Liberal party is just 4.5% behind the Conservative, but on the issue of trust surprisingly the Liberals are ahead. Ontario trust Mcguinty more than they trust any other party leader in the province. On who would be the best premier Ontario still slightly prefer Mcguinty over Hudack, but this is within the margin of error. This still proves that the Liberals aren't out just yet on this race.
When asked about the Liberals thrust worthy on the issue's Liberals in Ontario lead in Health care by 6%, Economy 3%, Taxes 1%, Education 7%, Environment 5%, Electricity 2%. Now many of these leads are within the margin of error, but this proves again that the Liberals have a chance if they are currently being competitive on the issue's and thrust worthy. The polls show that the lead the Conservative have is within the margin of error, and Liberals in the province still have a chance.
see the polls here and here
"We do not inherit the earth from our ancestors, we borrow it from our children." A Liberal-supporting, environmentalist blog. We blog according to our opinions, not those of the party or government. Free speech must win and that's why we have this blog. The views of two Montrealers and a Libertarian.
Wednesday, August 17, 2011
Ontario Libs With a Chance
Tuesday, August 16, 2011
The Scary Republican
In the Debate Last week the Republicans were asked some questions. Some I found slightly interesting, but one question just made me scared! The Question was that if their was a budget deal that for every 10 dollars in cuts their will only be 1 dollar in taxes would you support that? All the Republicans said no they would not be in favor. These Republicans scare me! They are against taxes more than Regan who did increase taxes on some people. They would rather see medicare destroyed then have a billionaire that has millions in safe heavens give one penny.
They forget the history of the U.S deficit. The deficit was first created with, because of the Bush tax cuts. Then with the help of a two wars the deficit ballooned. Then when the bubble burst revenue went down and the stimulus also increased the deficit. Eventually when the stimulus is out of the deficit the deficit will be mostly just be the Bush Tax cuts, the war in Iraq and Afghanistan, interest on the debt, medicare and social security which under Clinton had money to fund it for the future, military and pentagon funding and lower revenue because of high unemployment. Spending cuts must be made, but if we want to get back to the Bill Clinton surplus we need to go back to Clinton tax rates. The Republicans will never eliminate the Bush tax cuts even though they were suppose to expire in 2010 now 2012. The Republicans say that loopholes are fine. They are against eliminating loopholes and using that money to actually save Medicare a little. Apparently eliminating loopholes on major corporations who are practically paying negative corporate tax is too harsh, but lowering help for poor and the elderly isn't at all important to them. The Republican say that the cuts will help save Medicare in the long run. I have an idea raise the social security age and the medicare age. You save a lot of money in the long run and you save those services from major cuts, and maybe just maybe make companies pay their full share of taxes so their will be money for the elderly, but the Republicans aren't interested in making as little harm as possible on Medicare. They don't care about losing money allowing Corporations to use loopholes to pay no corporate tax, but they do care about using money that goes helping the poor and the elderly.
The Republicans at that debate I hope lose the election, because not only do they not support tax increases, but they aren't at all open to compromise. Even with a 10:1 deal that completely support their ideas more than the democratic's by a large margin. They aren't open to compromise. electing any Republican in any chamber makes it harder to save any program that helps the most in need.
They forget the history of the U.S deficit. The deficit was first created with, because of the Bush tax cuts. Then with the help of a two wars the deficit ballooned. Then when the bubble burst revenue went down and the stimulus also increased the deficit. Eventually when the stimulus is out of the deficit the deficit will be mostly just be the Bush Tax cuts, the war in Iraq and Afghanistan, interest on the debt, medicare and social security which under Clinton had money to fund it for the future, military and pentagon funding and lower revenue because of high unemployment. Spending cuts must be made, but if we want to get back to the Bill Clinton surplus we need to go back to Clinton tax rates. The Republicans will never eliminate the Bush tax cuts even though they were suppose to expire in 2010 now 2012. The Republicans say that loopholes are fine. They are against eliminating loopholes and using that money to actually save Medicare a little. Apparently eliminating loopholes on major corporations who are practically paying negative corporate tax is too harsh, but lowering help for poor and the elderly isn't at all important to them. The Republican say that the cuts will help save Medicare in the long run. I have an idea raise the social security age and the medicare age. You save a lot of money in the long run and you save those services from major cuts, and maybe just maybe make companies pay their full share of taxes so their will be money for the elderly, but the Republicans aren't interested in making as little harm as possible on Medicare. They don't care about losing money allowing Corporations to use loopholes to pay no corporate tax, but they do care about using money that goes helping the poor and the elderly.
The Republicans at that debate I hope lose the election, because not only do they not support tax increases, but they aren't at all open to compromise. Even with a 10:1 deal that completely support their ideas more than the democratic's by a large margin. They aren't open to compromise. electing any Republican in any chamber makes it harder to save any program that helps the most in need.
Sunday, August 14, 2011
Pawlenty Out, Perry In!
After Pawlenty's bad showing in the Iowa straw poll Pawlenty is now out of the race for the White house. Tim Pawlenty who was said to have spend an enormous amount of money and time in the state was disappointed with the poor third place showing in Iowa. This isn't the first time a candidate left, because of a poor showing in the straw poll. Fred Thomson who was doing very good by most polls at one point in the 2008 Republican primary had a bad showing in a Straw poll and quite the race.
Now where do his voters go. In Iowa the most recent poll gives Pawlenty 5th place with 11%, and considering all the other candidates ahead of Pawlenty are at most 10% behind the leader these votes can really help. Bachman I suspect will grab a lot of these votes and Perry will probably grab some the rest.
In New Hampshire. Pawlenty is way down the pack and Romney looks like he is king maker in that state, so unless something happens Romney has not much to worry about.
In Nevada Tim Pawlenty is at 1% no one should worry, and in South Carolina he has just 4%, and in this Poll Palin is included, and Perry isn't. I think IN south Carolina Perry might want to hit those socially conservatives people to try and beat Romney their.
The only other state Pawlenty voters make a big deal is his own home state which I am declaring that at this point will be all Bachman's.
Now where do his voters go. In Iowa the most recent poll gives Pawlenty 5th place with 11%, and considering all the other candidates ahead of Pawlenty are at most 10% behind the leader these votes can really help. Bachman I suspect will grab a lot of these votes and Perry will probably grab some the rest.
In New Hampshire. Pawlenty is way down the pack and Romney looks like he is king maker in that state, so unless something happens Romney has not much to worry about.
In Nevada Tim Pawlenty is at 1% no one should worry, and in South Carolina he has just 4%, and in this Poll Palin is included, and Perry isn't. I think IN south Carolina Perry might want to hit those socially conservatives people to try and beat Romney their.
The only other state Pawlenty voters make a big deal is his own home state which I am declaring that at this point will be all Bachman's.
Iowa Straw Poll
The results of the Iowa Straw poll are in, and Michele Bachman wins the Iowa straw poll by just 150 votes. Ron Paul got a very strong second place showing with 4671. This isn't much of a surprise. Ron Paul and Michele Bachman were really pushing out the vote in the Iowa straw poll. Pawlenty who was the governor in neighboring state Minnesota got 3rd place even though he spent a lot of money and time in the state trying to make a big surprise in this straw poll. Santorum who is having some problems with money considering he can't fund raise a lot compared to the rest of the crowd got 4th place. The surprising thing is that Rick Perry who everyone knew was going to run a few days ago and even before that got 718 votes. Way behind many of the people on the top of the straw poll, but he beat people like Romney and Gingrich without even being their. To be fair Romney and Gingrich really didn't do much to get votes in this straw poll. This straw poll doesn't always help predict the winner in 2007 it gave Romney the win in the Iowa straw poll, but he lost the state to Mike Huckabee. Right now Romney is still the front runner in my mind, but with Perry in the race some say Perry is the front runner in waiting. I don't know. I think right now Romney is still the front runner, and I think right now Michele Bachman and Rick Perry are tied for second place. Rick Perry is leading in nation wide votes against Bachman, but Bachman is leading in first state's like Iowa, but Rick who isn't in many regional polls is in second place in Nevada another early state, but these polls have all been taken before Rick Perry's official run so as soon as some new polls come out I think he is tied with Bachman.
A poll done on August 4th showed Bachman one point ahead of Romney with 22% in Iowa. Ron Paul at 3rd at 16% and Rick Perry is at 12%. Although to be fair Rick Perry didn't start campaigning yet. So right now Rick Perry I think is at most 3rd place, but yes I do think Rick Perry is defiantly something to fear.
Winners at the straw poll
Bachman showing she can rally her supporter's
Paul because he just slightly lost and clearly has proven again that his supporters are coming out for him
Rick Perry showing he can get a better showing then the front runner without campaigning and get votes without even being on the ballot
Losers
Pawlenty turned out to get a lower showing then expected in this even though he spent a lot of time and money in the state
Romney even though not trying to win he still put his name on the ballot and got trumped by minor candidates who he is beating in the polls like Santorum and Cain, but most importantly someone who wasn't even on the ballot.
Everyone else
did as expected.
A poll done on August 4th showed Bachman one point ahead of Romney with 22% in Iowa. Ron Paul at 3rd at 16% and Rick Perry is at 12%. Although to be fair Rick Perry didn't start campaigning yet. So right now Rick Perry I think is at most 3rd place, but yes I do think Rick Perry is defiantly something to fear.
Winners at the straw poll
Bachman showing she can rally her supporter's
Paul because he just slightly lost and clearly has proven again that his supporters are coming out for him
Rick Perry showing he can get a better showing then the front runner without campaigning and get votes without even being on the ballot
Losers
Pawlenty turned out to get a lower showing then expected in this even though he spent a lot of time and money in the state
Romney even though not trying to win he still put his name on the ballot and got trumped by minor candidates who he is beating in the polls like Santorum and Cain, but most importantly someone who wasn't even on the ballot.
Everyone else
did as expected.
Saturday, August 13, 2011
Perry'a Fake Miracle!
Governor Rick Perry which by all accounts in the presidential campaign for the White House has been seen as the person to match Romney has been claimed to be the candidate who know something about Jobs. Texas has increased jobs. In fact Texas leads in job creation for the past decade, but if you look at whole picture of Texas what do you see. Texas has an unemployment rate smaller then the national average. Why? Oil does help, but the fact it is the fastest growing state right now does help too. It just pumped up it's amount of electoral votes, and that is why many jobs have been created, because if more people live in a state that means more people need to given services well over half the jobs in Texas created from 2001 was because of the population surge. These jobs include public schools as more students are in the country their needs to be more teachers. in fact 1/5 of all the jobs created from 2001 were government jobs, and the public sector in Texas grew double the rate of the private sector.
The state started the year with a 25 billion dollar deficit hole to patch up. You may blame this on the recession, but Rick Perry has had budget shortfalls years before the recession.In fact during Perry's 11 years in office local debt ballooned 100 billion. State debt in Texas since 2001 to now has increased faster than the federal debt ( it increased 282%). here's something else Texas has a AA+ rating the same as the federal government (important to note this is a rating upgrade by standard and poor's,but the fact that Texas has the same rate as the federal government is important to note).
The state has the lowest health care coverage rate in the U.S and has the third highest poverty rate. The Education system in Texas is one of the lowest in the country. In fact Texas spent the lowest amount of money per person then any other state, and yet somehow they had a huge budget shortfall for years. The Reason for that is taxes. Texas has one of the lowest tax rates in the country. Texas has no income Tax! In fact when faced with the 25 billion dollar hole Rick Perry promised voters he wouldn't raise taxes at all instead cut spending to fix the problem. Even though the state spends the lowest amount of money per person than any other state. Rick Perry this year cut 31 billion to close the budget hole. programs that were cut. Public education was cut by 13%, four community college's closed, health and human services was cut by 25%, Medicaid providers now have a 10% rate deduction and 60,000 students would lose financial aid to go to college, and considering the cuts he is making are in areas that have been creating jobs the past decade job cuts are going to hurt Texas's so called "miracle"
The state started the year with a 25 billion dollar deficit hole to patch up. You may blame this on the recession, but Rick Perry has had budget shortfalls years before the recession.In fact during Perry's 11 years in office local debt ballooned 100 billion. State debt in Texas since 2001 to now has increased faster than the federal debt ( it increased 282%). here's something else Texas has a AA+ rating the same as the federal government (important to note this is a rating upgrade by standard and poor's,but the fact that Texas has the same rate as the federal government is important to note).
The state has the lowest health care coverage rate in the U.S and has the third highest poverty rate. The Education system in Texas is one of the lowest in the country. In fact Texas spent the lowest amount of money per person then any other state, and yet somehow they had a huge budget shortfall for years. The Reason for that is taxes. Texas has one of the lowest tax rates in the country. Texas has no income Tax! In fact when faced with the 25 billion dollar hole Rick Perry promised voters he wouldn't raise taxes at all instead cut spending to fix the problem. Even though the state spends the lowest amount of money per person than any other state. Rick Perry this year cut 31 billion to close the budget hole. programs that were cut. Public education was cut by 13%, four community college's closed, health and human services was cut by 25%, Medicaid providers now have a 10% rate deduction and 60,000 students would lose financial aid to go to college, and considering the cuts he is making are in areas that have been creating jobs the past decade job cuts are going to hurt Texas's so called "miracle"
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