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Thursday, September 15, 2011

Why Libby Davies Would Be Bad for the NDP part 2

The Last reason why Libby Davies would be bad for the NDP is the biggest one of them all

3: She Can't speak French!
It pretty much says it for itself. The NDP can't get votes from my 80% Francophone province IF SHE CAN'T COMMUNICATE WITH THEM! Making the NDP the leader of the party would be a death sentence in Quebec almost the next second. Having the Libby Davies the leader of the NDP would be a wish come true to the Bloc. The Bloc will grab all the rural votes again. I would suspect Quebec City would go blue for the Conservatives and Bloc. While the Island of Montreal is tricky. The East side would go back to there 2008 results while the west side would be a fight. Considering Quebec makes up the majority of the seats for the NDP she will not be able to get elected right. Wrong only 3% of NDP members come from the province. So it's more than plausible for the 97% non Quebec members to elect her as leader.

Why Libby Davies Would be Bad For the NDP Part (1)

Libby Davies would be the worst new leader for the NDP for many reasons.

Reason #1:
Libby Davies is much more father to the left than Jack Layton. In fact it's hard to find someone who isn't more left then any one else in the NDP. With this we in the Liberal party can say that they are the tax and spend lefties, we are the fiscally responsible party. We can make the point that the NDP isn't in the middle, and even far to the left, and I would be sure the Conservative party would help us make that point. 

Reason #2:
She is from the city. The NDP have been  trying for years to grab votes from prairie provinces. With Libby Davies coming from urban Vancouver someone who voted against the gun registry and supports a lot for cities. Not that she doesn't care for farmers, but it may be hard to sell to prairie provinces a leader who seeems to care more about cities. Even Jack Layton hasn't been able to get a seat in Saskatchewan for years, and the seat in Alberta was an Urban seat. The Only Rural prairie seat was in Manitoba and that was only NDP since 2008. So any Urban NDP candidate will have a tough time bringing the prairie's back to the NDP


Tuesday, September 13, 2011

Ontario Could Stay Red.

threehundredeight.com has a new projection in the province of Ontario. It predicts that Ontario will be an even split. 44 Liberals, 44 Tories and 19 NDP. Which means a split government that would probably give Mcguinty another term in office. It seems Hudack is moving down the polls, and Liberals are back and fighting for a government. This trend has been going on for quite a while, and if continued can give the Liberals another majority government. some polls even have the Liberals way ahead of the Conservatives. It seems the Liberals right now are on the up swing, and I hope to see Ontario stay in the red column in Ontario. 

The poll also found that only 45 per cent of respondents believed McGuinty had much of a plan for the province's future.
"While I'm not prepared to say I'm absolutely certain that it's a 10-point Liberal advantage, I feel pretty confident that what we're picking up is some narrowing of the race," Anderson said.
Hudak found himself defending Randy Hillier, a high-profile Tory candidate who has been embroiled in a long-running tax dispute with Canada Revenue Agency.

Sunday, September 11, 2011

9/11 anniversary

Today we stop and think of the people who dies 10 years ago in the terrorist attack done by 19 people that killed more than 3000 people, and also the people who stooped a plane from killing thousands more by trying to take control away from the hijackers, and unfortunately died saving other people. I think that today is also a day to remember to be generous. 10 years ago after 9/11 when the U.S closed it's air space Canada opened it's doors to thousands of people and helped feed and shelter misplaced Americans.

Saturday, September 10, 2011

Repealing HST Bad Move

BC moves to eliminate the tax that would now increase the deficit. In fact the B.C deficit is now tripled. The big loss is of course the 1.6 billion BC now has to give back to Ottawa. BC is still moving to eliminate the deficit by 2014. BC could have a much easier time going into surplus if they would have kept the tax that would create jobs (over 100,000 in the next ten years), and would increase revenue. It seems that the HST was good policy, but the Liberals in BC are crazy over popularity. Even though 45% of people were in favor of keeping the tax. I mean take a vote of the G.S.T and the federal government would be lucky to get close to these numbers. I mean there is only a slight win in this politically, because many people who want the H.S.T gone are guess what with the NDP! There isn't much political gain especially for something that would have done a lot of good for the province of BC. It seems like BC are moving a few steps behind so far this year. I hope these Liberals get there act together very soon.

In his latest quarterly report, Minister Kevin Falcon says scrapping the HST will cost the province $2.3 billion over three years
"This includes $1.6 billion in 2011-12 associated with reimbursing the federal HST transition funding and a more than $700 million loss from lower tax revenue and increased spending over the three years ending 2013-14."
 Read more here