PC over Promising.

In PEI the PC's in the province who are losing terribly in the polls are trying to gain support promising something that PEI can't afford. The Pc leader Olive Crane said if elected she would reduce the P.S.T in the province from 10% to 9%.

"For a one percentage change, it means there is $20 million available to invest in Islanders. And, as you know … Islanders can make good choices with their dollars," said Crane.

And although reducing the P.S.T in the province would help the economy no doubt I think she neglects to mention that P.E.I has a deficit of 42 million. The Liberals in the province are trying to reduce the deficit and eliminate it under there projection by 2013. It seems yet again that the Liberals are the fiscally responsible one's and the Tories wants to continue to use money they don't have.

read more here

Can We take Toronto-Danforth Part 3

So far in my last two post I have said that after the three elections; 2004, 2006 and 2008. The Liberals would likely win a by-election where Jack Layton would no longer be running, but a by-election today wouldn't be that Liberal leaning. The Reason: May 2nd


in the 2011 election Jack Layton grabbed 62% and the Liberals all the way down at 18% only a few points ahead of the Conservative candidate. Now that Jack Layton has sadly died his name wouldn't get him major support like 2011. Even though there support in the province is high the fact that the leader of the political party isn't running any more would take some of that support back. So if a by-election was held today and a random NDP person ran then i predict the NDP would win with about 50%. Liberals a strong second at the high twenties. But this all depends of course when the by-election will be held and it could take a lot of time, so as soon as a date is set I will write more on this, but for now the NDP can expect very strong support in that riding for now at least.

Can We take Toronto-Danforth Part 2

Now That I am done explaining how Liberals would have been very much able to win a by election in Ontario let's look at now the 2006 election. In 2006 Liberals went  in the country and  in Ontario. In Toronto Danforth the Liberal candidate also dropped by 7% while the NDP had a pretty good lead this time around with Jack Layton won 48% more than a double digit lead. If there was a by election after this election would Liberals win it?

Well after 2006 is somewhat similar to today since at that time the Liberals did have an interim leader. So would the Liberals win. I still think yes, because considering that the Liberals would campaign against someone who wouldn't be the leader and the riding has had a Liberal history.

In 2008 The NDP kept about the same support in the Province of Ontario. The Liberals went down. In Mr. Layton's riding the Liberals and NDP both dropped and the lead was 15% now. If there was a by election after that election. I would think the Liberals would still win for the same reason.

Can We Take Toronto-Danforth! part (1)

Toronto-Danforth is going to have an election very soon in order to fill the vacancy. This riding has only voted NDP since 2004 when Jack Layton just after Jack Layton became leader of the NDP. Now that Jack Layton has sadly died is it possible for us Liberals to take back that seat from the NDP. Well let's look at the numbers

In 2000 the last time the riding voted for the Liberals (although at that time the boundaries were slightly different  ) Liberals got 52% of the vote the NDP were only at 27%. In 2000 the Province of Ontario voted about the same at 52% Liberal with only 8% voting NDP. This of course no surprise that NDP votes tend to be higher in Toronto compared with the rest of the province. In 2004 When the NDP had a strong revival they took 18% of the vote in the province, and as there leader was running in the riding he of course won it with 46% of the vote while the Liberals in the riding dropped 10% to just five points lower than Jack Layton compared with the only 6% in the province. What do these numbers mean? It means that if a by-election was done in this riding around 2005 and Jack Layton wasn't running this riding would be a leaning Liberal riding again. As Liberals would be playing in a riding they only lost slightly and be running against a candidate that wouldn't be the leader of the party.

Provincial Elctions

Three provincial election will be held in October, and all of them after each other. The first election is on October 3rd in PEI, and right now unless something drastic happens it seems like the Liberals will win one more majority government in the province, and may even completely sweep out opposition in the province. After October 3rd the next day Liberals will be watching an election that we right now aren't major contenders.  Manitoba! While we are the underdogs in Manitoba right now we are poised to make some gains in the province. Then will come the big test for Liberals in Ontario October 6th. this election is looking like it's going to be exciting a projection shows Hudack is right now holds a small lead that would only give him a slim majority. In fact the Liberals highest seat rage is one seat below majority! In October the Liberals can push out a win that shows that we are still here! As for me I will be trying my best to make some predictions later on in the campaign. One things for sure September is going to be a good month for political junkies.