Thursday, September 08, 2011

Can We take Toronto-Danforth Part 3

So far in my last two post I have said that after the three elections; 2004, 2006 and 2008. The Liberals would likely win a by-election where Jack Layton would no longer be running, but a by-election today wouldn't be that Liberal leaning. The Reason: May 2nd

in the 2011 election Jack Layton grabbed 62% and the Liberals all the way down at 18% only a few points ahead of the Conservative candidate. Now that Jack Layton has sadly died his name wouldn't get him major support like 2011. Even though there support in the province is high the fact that the leader of the political party isn't running any more would take some of that support back. So if a by-election was held today and a random NDP person ran then i predict the NDP would win with about 50%. Liberals a strong second at the high twenties. But this all depends of course when the by-election will be held and it could take a lot of time, so as soon as a date is set I will write more on this, but for now the NDP can expect very strong support in that riding for now at least.

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