Sunday, January 09, 2011
In 2012 the fight for the Republican nomination will be a fight to see. With many politicians already looking like they might run. with many of them saying that they will make there decision soon. One person that's funny to here is Donald Trump who is thinking of running. A definite front runner is Sarah Palin who looks like she will run with a new TV show a book out and campaigning in the last midterm that helped many Tea Party Candidates winning there primaries. Mitt Romney also campaigned in the last midterm election, and looks like he might run he also ran last time in 2008. Huckabee would be a good contender considering a poll shows he would beat Obama in a nation wide vote. Another Candidate could be the former house speaker Newt Gingrich who has been very politically active in the last midterm even speculated of running in 2008. In the U.S the first few primary/caucus states usually pick the winner of the primaries. Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina have traditionally started first. In Iowa in 2008 it voted for Huckabee over Mitt Romney by 10% polls from many moth's ago show Huckabee still having a 4% lead over Romney( which makes it a statistical tie). In New Hampshire that went to McCain last time, but now In a poll shows that in a hypothetical match up with Mitt Romney, Sarah Palin and Huckabee (and many other candidates)Romney would smash the competition with 39% vs. 16% Sarah Palin. In Nevada Romney last time dominated the election with 37% lead over the next candidate, and this time his lead isn't as big only if Newt Gingrich runs, but his lead is still 34% Romney vs. 21% newt Gingrich. In South Carolina it's piratically a four way tie between Huckabee, Romney, Gingrich and Palin.