Today, three by-elections will be held. One in Ontario and two in Manitoba. The two in Manitoba seem like they will stay Conservative and NDP. However, the one in Vaughan could go either way. Of course, I'm no fan of Julian Fantino who has run a peek-a-boo campaign, not showing up for public debates. With so little data on this level, it will be hard to predict the outcome. I wouldn't be surprised if either side, Liberal or Conservative wins by a big margin. I would caution against taking the outcome of these by-elections as a test of the leadership skills of the leaders of each party. I think the campaign mostly focused on the candidates rather than the leaders. I will watch for the results of the three by-elections.
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